SMU
W-L: ( 9-21) PR = 93.7633Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 96-70 1108 H Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 44-46 1113 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 60-91 1118 H Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 60-76 1122 H No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 55-58 1125 H St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 67-70 1126 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 84-61 1201 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 83-70 1204 A Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 78-63 1207 H Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 69-78 1210 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 57-49 1219 A Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 73-69 1221 A Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 74-62 1229 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 52-76 101 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 58-91 104 H Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 59-67 111 H NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 54-91 115 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 42-79 118 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 83-76 122 H Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 51-73 125 H Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 66-75 129 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 54-83 205 H Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 65-70 208 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 36-95 212 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 42-94 215 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 79-78 219 H Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 59-77 222 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 63-88 226 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 57-87 301 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 34-78
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Grambling St 96-70 26 2 0.23
1108 H Kansas St 44-46 -2 -2 0.00
1113 H Texas Tech 60-91 -31 -3 0.00
1118 H Grand Canyon 60-76 -16 0 -1.65
1122 H No Texas 55-58 -3 -1 -1.12
1125 H St Louis 67-70 -3 0 - -2.07
1126 A Winthrop 84-61 23 2 0.46
1201 A So Miss 83-70 13 0 + 2.01
1204 A Arkansas 78-63 15 -1 + 2.99
1207 H Syracuse 69-78 -9 -3 0.00
1210 A Coppin St 57-49 8 2 0.00
1219 A Sam Houston 73-69 4 0 + 2.42
1221 A Southern 74-62 12 1 1.48
1229 H Virginia 52-76 -24 -2 0.00
101 H Louisville 58-91 -33 -4 0.00
104 H Georgia Tech 59-67 -8 -1 -0.61
111 H NC State 54-91 -37 -3 0.00
115 H Va Tech 42-79 -37 -3 0.00
118 A Pittsburgh 83-76 7 1 1.21
122 H Florida St 51-73 -22 -1 -0.95
125 H Miami (Fl) 66-75 -9 -2 -0.15
129 H Clemson 54-83 -29 -2 0.00
205 H Wake Forest 65-70 -5 0 -1.54
208 H Duke 36-95 -59 -4 0.00
212 H No Carolina 42-94 -52 -4 0.00
215 A Pittsburgh 79-78 1 1 0.21
219 H Boston Col 59-77 -18 1 - -2.89
222 H Notre Dame 63-88 -25 -3 0.00
226 H Stanford 57-87 -30 -2 -0.04
301 H California 34-78 -44 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 H St Louis 67-70 -3 0 - -2.07 219 H Boston Col 59-77 -18 1 - -2.89 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1201 A So Miss 83-70 13 0 + 2.01 1204 A Arkansas 78-63 15 -1 + 2.99 1219 A Sam Houston 73-69 4 0 + 2.42 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 96-70 -7.92 3.04 0.01 1.01 6.18
3 H Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 44-46 -4.13 6.84 -0.01 1.01 -2.09
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 60-91 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 1.01 -1.68
3 H Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 60-76 -5.77 5.19 -0.01 1.01 -2.93
3 H No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 55-58 -5.25 5.71 -0.01 1.01 -2.66
3 H St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 67-70 -6.19 4.77 -0.01 1.01 -3.14
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 84-61 -7.69 3.27 0.01 1.01 6.64
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 83-70 -6.14 4.82 0.01 1.01 9.77
3 A Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 78-63 -5.16 5.80 0.01 1.01 11.76
3 H Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 69-78 -3.41 7.55 -0.01 1.01 -1.73
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 57-49 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.01 5.72
3 A Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 73-69 -5.73 5.23 0.01 1.01 10.61
3 A Southern (18-14, 93.2) 74-62 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.01 8.72
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 52-76 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 1.01 -1.91
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 58-91 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 1.01 -1.21
3 H Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 59-67 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 1.01 -2.40
3 H NC State (21-11, 96.6) 54-91 -3.27 7.69 -0.01 1.01 -1.66
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 42-79 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 1.01 -1.84
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 83-76 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.01 8.16
3 H Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 51-73 -5.07 5.89 -0.01 1.01 -2.57
3 H Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 66-75 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.17
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 54-83 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 1.01 -1.94
3 H Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 65-70 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 1.01 -2.87
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 36-95 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 1.01 -1.17
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 42-94 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 1.01 -1.26
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 79-78 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.01 8.16
3 H Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 59-77 -7.02 3.94 -0.01 1.01 -3.56
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 63-88 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 1.01 -1.42
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 57-87 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 1.01 -2.11
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 34-78 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 1.01 -2.02
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31.39
|
winning pts = 75.7164 losing points = -44.3305
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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